When you say that you don’t think the Bible supports the “God is in control” idea in the universal sense, you are saying that God is caught off guard when bad weather happens and the people of earth are subject to chance or luck. I will agree with you that that is true in a limited sense but only when you are talking about non believers. In a “limited sense” I believe there is no chance or luck in a believers life and the evil one can only have the control the Father lets him have. So you believe that God just sits back and lets things happen and only gets involved when He wants to use natural events to make a point?
God is never caught off guard. There’s a big difference between knowing what is going to happen and controlling what is going to happen. But my point is the Bible clearly states that the whole world is under the control of the evil one (1 John 5:19). Jesus called Satan the prince (ruler) of this world three times. (John 12:31, 14:30, 16:11). And Paul called him the god of this age in 2 Cor. 4:4. These are clear statements either made by the Lord Himself or an apostle writing under the guidance of the Holy Spirit. To believe otherwise is to deny the authenticity of these statements.
Certainly God has seen Satan’s ultimate defeat (Rev. 20:7-10) and is currently restraining his activity, within what I believe are steadily relaxing limits, for the protection of the Church (2 Thes. 2:7). But as bad as they seem, the extreme weather and other so-called natural disasters we experience now are no where near the magnitude of the judgments God will visit upon the world when the time comes for Him to punish the people of Earth for their sins.